Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
The opening rotation will test the technology rebound
Broad chip participation would support a squeeze, while narrow leadership leaves NQ vulnerable below 28,228.
08:30
Consumer confidence can reset rate expectations
A strong reading could lift yields and pressure growth stocks, while a miss would favor duration-sensitive technology.
09:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
09:00USCB Consumer ConfidenceMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R328598Resistance
R228413Resistance
R128209Resistance
Pivot28024Pivot
POC28005POC
S127821Support
S227636Support
S327432Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
28005.25
-1660.75
ES Globex
7457.75
9.50
VIX
18.71
0.04
10Y Yield
4.633
-0.008
DXY
101.52
0.01
Crude
81.19
-1.42

Market Context

📊
VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, rising
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Defensive hedging favored
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Flat carry
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Weak, sellers dominant
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Narrow, weak internals

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry28230-28250
Stop28128
TP128374
TP228509
A clean break above the overnight high would negate failed-rally supply and open a squeeze toward R2.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry28182-28199
Stop28303
TP128056
TP227922
Failure beneath the overnight high preserves lower highs and exposes Pivot, then the Globex low.
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