Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Durable-goods results shape the rates impulse
A stronger growth signal favors higher yields and pressures long-duration technology shares.
07:30
Cash-session liquidity will test the stabilization bounce
Acceptance above 28763 would squeeze shorts, while rejection keeps 28500 exposed.
08:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

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Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R329060Resistance
R228920Resistance
R128763Resistance
POC28645POC
Pivot28620Pivot
S128500Support
S228360Support
S328200Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
28660.00
-1993.50
ES Globex
7510.00
62.50
VIX
17.72
-0.86
10Y Yield
4.651
-0.028
DXY
101.41
-0.05
Crude
84.14
-5.17

Market Context

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VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, rising
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Defensive demand building
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Flat carry
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Weak, bounce lacks trust
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Narrow, internals still fragile

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry28770-28785
Stop28663
TP128916
TP229054
A clean break above the overnight high would negate the lower-high structure and open a squeeze toward 28920 and beyond.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry28735-28760
Stop28863
TP128610
TP228472
Rejection beneath 28763 keeps the overnight rebound corrective and points back to 28620, then the 28500 low.
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