Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Business activity tests the growth cushion
A stronger reading would support yields and restrain NQ, while a miss would favor continued rate relief.
08:45
Housing demand challenges restrictive rates
Resilient sales would reinforce higher-for-longer pricing and weigh on the technology recovery.
09:00
Policy remarks carry geopolitical headline risk
Fresh Iran or trade rhetoric could lift oil, revive inflation fears, and pressure NQ.
19:55

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
19:55USPresident Trump SpeaksMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R328920Resistance
R228736Resistance
R128552Resistance
Pivot28495Pivot
POC28440POC
S128368Support
S228255Support
S328070Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
28469.25
-1794.10
ES Globex
7468.25
23.25
VIX
17.94
-0.76
10Y Yield
4.667
-0.036
DXY
101.43
-0.00
Crude
88.28
-3.91

Market Context

📊
VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, rising
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Defensive demand building
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Flat carry
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Weak, sellers dominant
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Split, tech participation weak

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry28560-28580
Stop28456
TP128707
TP228844
Buy only after NQ clears retracement resistance; acceptance above 28552 can extend the recovery toward the session high.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry28530-28552
Stop28655
TP128404
TP228267
Sell the upper range retracement while semiconductor weakness persists; rejection restores pressure toward the lower half of the session range.
TradingView
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