Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Mega-cap earnings damage tests the rebound
Tesla and Alphabet weakness can cap NQ rallies even as semiconductors stabilize.
08:30
Oil retreat eases the inflation shock
Cheaper crude supports risk appetite, but renewed Iran headlines could quickly reverse the tailwind.
08:30
Business activity can reshape the rate-relief bid
Soft readings would support lower yields, while firmer prices could renew pressure on long-duration tech.
08:45
Housing demand carries fresh yield risk
A strong print could lift yields and pressure rate-sensitive technology shares.
09:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

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08:45USFlash Manufacturing PMIMed
08:45USFlash Services PMIMed
09:00USNew Home SalesMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R328997Resistance
R228866Resistance
R128726Resistance
Pivot28596Pivot
POC28586POC
S128456Support
S228325Support
S328185Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
28585.75
-1677.60
ES Globex
7448.25
3.25
VIX
18.92
0.22
10Y Yield
4.683
-0.020
DXY
101.52
0.09
Crude
89.79
-2.40

Market Context

📊
VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, rising
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Defensive tilt building
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Flat carry
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Weak, rebound fragile
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Narrow, leadership fractured

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry28738-28752
Stop28631
TP128882
TP229019
A clean break above the overnight high would squeeze shorts and expose R2, with softer yields helping the extension.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry28690-28720
Stop28819
TP128568
TP228431
R1 overlaps overnight supply; rejection there preserves the earnings-led weakness and targets Pivot, then the overnight low.
TradingView
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