Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Firm labor conditions reinforce higher-for-longer risk
Resilient employment can keep yields elevated and limit relief in long-duration technology shares.
07:30
The cash open tests the overnight breakdown
Opening liquidity can accelerate a break of 28,741 or trigger a sharp recovery toward the Pivot.
08:30
Natural gas inventories test the energy shock
A tighter build could extend inflation pressure and deepen the drag from rising energy costs.
09:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R329283Resistance
R229190Resistance
R129080Resistance
POC28965POC
Pivot28880Pivot
S128741Support
S228610Support
S328460Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
28745.25
-942.25
ES Globex
7458.75
-81.50
VIX
18.96
2.32
10Y Yield
4.707
0.050
DXY
101.43
0.29
Crude
91.27
4.44

Market Context

📊
VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, easing
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Defensive hedging elevated
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Contango, calm
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Heavy downside pressure
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Broad selling pressure

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry28965-28985
Stop28860
TP129113
TP229251
A clean POC reclaim would repair the breakdown and target the upper half of the overnight range.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry28855-28880
Stop28983
TP128730
TP228592
A failed rebound into the Pivot keeps the overnight breakdown intact and targets fresh session lows.
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