Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Chip rebound restores tech leadership
Semiconductor strength and falling Nasdaq volatility support a push through the session high.
12:16
Ceasefire hopes reduce geopolitical risk
Progress toward a U.S.–Iran deal lowers the energy shock premium, though firm crude keeps reversal risk alive.
12:16
Higher yields test the rally
The 10-year yield near its session high can slow follow-through if NQ fails to clear resistance.
12:16

Economic Calendar (CT)

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Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R329720Resistance
R229538Resistance
R129355Resistance
POC29220POC
Pivot29136Pivot
S129028Support
S228884Support
S328701Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
29351.00
-1208.25
ES Globex
7549.75
65.50
VIX
17.10
-1.55
10Y Yield
4.628
0.030
DXY
101.12
0.13
Crude
84.40
1.17

Market Context

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VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, easing
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Balanced positioning
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Flat carry
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Strong, chips leading
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Broad, buyers in control

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29360-29375
Stop29251
TP129508
TP229648
A clean session-high break, backed by chip leadership and falling volatility, opens a continuation move toward 29538.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry29525-29538
Stop29649
TP129391
TP229251
A rejection at 29538 would mark failed continuation and expose a rotation back through the breakout area.
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