Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Producer inflation set the rate-sensitive tone
The release influenced Treasury yields and the valuation bid in growth shares.
07:30
Fed testimony reinforces the soft-landing bid
A dovish inflation tone and confidence in growth support equity multiples, though policy pushback remains a yield risk.
09:00
Oil inventories collide with geopolitical supply risk
A tighter balance could lift crude and revive inflation pressure as Hormuz headlines keep risk premiums elevated.
09:30
Beige Book could reset policy expectations
Cooling prices would favor NQ, while resilient demand and wages could push yields higher.
13:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30USCore PPI m/m — Forecast 0.3%, Previous 0.4%High
07:30USPPI m/m — Forecast 0.0%, Previous 1.1%High
09:00USFed Chairman Warsh TestifiesHigh

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R330063Resistance
R229850Resistance
POC29730POC
R129655Resistance
Pivot29526Pivot
S129397Support
S229250Support
S329117Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
29547.25
430.25
ES Globex
7592.00
0.75
VIX
16.17
-0.33
10Y Yield
4.551
-0.034
DXY
100.62
-0.32
Crude
79.21
-0.13

Market Context

📊
VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, easing
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Balanced hedging demand
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Contango, calm
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Positive, momentum fading
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Narrow, weak internals

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29740-29760
Stop29632
TP129892
TP230033
Reclaiming POC would repair the midday rejection and reopen 29850, with easing volatility and lower yields supporting follow-through.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry29547-29565
Stop29674
TP129414
TP229273
A clean Pivot failure confirms sellers control the post-spike reversal, targeting the session low before the prior-close support zone.
TradingView
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