Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Inflation repricing controls the rate trade
Cooling price pressure supports long-duration growth, while oil-driven upside risk leaves NQ vulnerable to renewed yield pressure.
07:30
Hawkish Fed rhetoric caps valuation expansion
Higher near-term rate expectations raise the hurdle for NQ to sustain a breakout.
09:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30USCore CPI m/mHigh
07:30USCore CPI y/yHigh
07:30USCPI m/mHigh
07:30USCPI y/yHigh
09:00USFed Chairman Warsh TestifiesHigh

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R330094Resistance
R230043Resistance
R130023Resistance
Pivot29957Pivot
POC29873POC
S129688Support
S229598Support
S329476Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
29822.00
367.25
ES Globex
7587.25
24.25
VIX
16.39
-0.77
10Y Yield
4.581
-0.028
DXY
100.90
-0.38
Crude
79.18
1.04

Market Context

📊
VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Moderate, rising
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Balanced, no crowding
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Contango, calm
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Firm, chips dragging
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Narrow, participation weak

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29878-29888
Stop29764
TP130026
TP230169
Acceptance above the current-session POC would restore upside control and target the 29957 pivot before 30023 resistance.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry29672-29682
Stop29796
TP129534
TP229391
A clean loss of 29688 would break the support shelf and expose lower volume acceptance near 29598, then 29476.
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