Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

Policy language keeps rate sensitivity in play
Firm yield pressure can weigh on duration-heavy growth shares if buyers lose control of support.
10:00
Semiconductor leadership is cushioning Nasdaq weakness
Chip strength is limiting downside follow-through, but index-level damage keeps upside chases vulnerable.
12:16
Nasdaq volatility remains elevated despite easing fear
Volatility relief supports tactical dip demand, but a high Nasdaq volatility floor argues for wider stops.
12:16

Economic Calendar (CT)

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10:00USFed Monetary Policy ReportMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R330600Resistance
R230200Resistance
R130043Resistance
Pivot29994Pivot
POC29937POC
S129921Support
S229675Support
S329556Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
30019.50
-468.75
ES Globex
7610.75
22.00
VIX
15.31
-0.53
10Y Yield
4.563
0.024
DXY
100.84
-0.10
Crude
71.11
-0.97

Market Context

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VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Moderate, easing
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Balanced hedging tone
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Contango, calm
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Mixed semis leading
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Uneven participation

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry29909-29933
Stop29801
TP130065
TP230209
Only buy a controlled pullback into S1; the wider stop respects session noise while targets require a reclaim through R1 into R2.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry30031-30055
Stop30163
TP129899
TP229755
Fade a failed push into R1; risk is capped above R2, with downside only valid if sellers drive back through Pivot and S1.
TradingView
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