Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
Policy language keeps rate sensitivity in play
Firm yield pressure can weigh on duration-heavy growth shares if buyers lose control of support.
10:00
Semiconductor leadership is cushioning Nasdaq weakness
Chip strength is limiting downside follow-through, but index-level damage keeps upside chases vulnerable.
12:16
Nasdaq volatility remains elevated despite easing fear
Volatility relief supports tactical dip demand, but a high Nasdaq volatility floor argues for wider stops.
12:16
Economic Calendar (CT)
10:00USFed Monetary Policy ReportMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 30600 | Resistance |
| R2 | 30200 | Resistance |
| R1 | 30043 | Resistance |
| Pivot | 29994 | Pivot |
| POC | 29937 | POC |
| S1 | 29921 | Support |
| S2 | 29675 | Support |
| S3 | 29556 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
30019.50
-468.75
ES Globex
7610.75
22.00
VIX
15.31
-0.53
10Y Yield
4.563
0.024
DXY
100.84
-0.10
Crude
71.11
-0.97
Market Context
VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Moderate, easing
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Balanced hedging tone
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Contango, calm
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Mixed semis leading
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Uneven participation
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 29909-29933 |
| Stop | 29801 |
| TP1 | 30065 |
| TP2 | 30209 |
Only buy a controlled pullback into S1; the wider stop respects session noise while targets require a reclaim through R1 into R2.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 30031-30055 |
| Stop | 30163 |
| TP1 | 29899 |
| TP2 | 29755 |
Fade a failed push into R1; risk is capped above R2, with downside only valid if sellers drive back through Pivot and S1.
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