Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Services resilience keeps rate pressure on tech
A firm services print supports higher-for-longer pricing and can keep pressure on growth-heavy Nasdaq 100 exposure.
09:00
Fed restraint keeps cut hopes in check
Hawkish commentary would harden the rate headwind for long-duration tech while softer language could fuel a tactical squeeze.
10:00
AI leadership remains under distribution
Semiconductor profit-taking keeps NQ vulnerable because buyers need that group to confirm any durable reclaim of R1.
12:16

Economic Calendar (CT)

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09:00USISM Services PMIHigh

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R330566Resistance
R230320Resistance
R130090Resistance
POC29815POC
Pivot29801Pivot
S129556Support
S229329Support
S329274Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
30021.25
-545.00
ES Globex
7593.25
65.00
VIX
15.90
0.09
10Y Yield
4.483
-0.002
DXY
100.96
0.11
Crude
68.24
-0.45

Market Context

📊
VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, easing
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Hedges still active
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Contango, calm
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Weak bounce attempt
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Narrow mixed tape

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry29787-29815
Stop29681
TP129945
TP230089
Buy only a controlled dip into Pivot and POC; risk is defined at S1 with upside back to R1 and R2.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry30075-30105
Stop30210
TP129946
TP229802
Fade R1 if buyers stall; weak semis and rate pressure keep failed rallies vulnerable while 30320 caps the squeeze.
TradingView
Chart these levels live on a free TradingView chart with NQ futures.
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