Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Nasdaq futures lag broader index strength
NQ weakness versus a firm ES points to concentrated mega-cap and semiconductor risk.
08:16
Tech volatility remains elevated
Rising Nasdaq volatility keeps rallies vulnerable until price reclaims nearby resistance.
08:16
Holiday conditions can thin liquidity
Reduced participation can exaggerate moves and increase false breaks around key levels.
07:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

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Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R330320Resistance
R230090Resistance
R129924Resistance
POC29897POC
Pivot29876Pivot
S129556Support
S229329Support
S329283Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
29891.50
-415.50
ES Globex
7551.75
8.25
VIX
15.92
-0.23
10Y Yield
4.485
-0.000
DXY
100.82
-0.57
Crude
68.47
-0.11

Market Context

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VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, rising
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Cautious hedging bid
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Contango, calm
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Weak momentum fading
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Narrow tech selling

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29945-29965
Stop29835
TP130099
TP230243
Reclaim above Globex high would trap late shorts and target the prior resistance shelf at 30090.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry29835-29855
Stop29965
TP129701
TP229557
Break below EMA/pivot confirms sellers in control, with delayed data requiring a buffer under the 29876 battleground.
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