Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Jobs data keeps rate-cut pricing under pressure
A firm labor mix supports higher yields and keeps pressure on long-duration tech leadership.
07:30
Wage inflation matters for tech valuation
Sticky pay growth would reinforce the higher-for-longer rates trade and weigh on Nasdaq 100 multiples.
07:30
Claims shape the growth-scare angle
Rising claims would soften the growth read, but a contained print keeps the Fed-risk premium in play.
07:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

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07:30USAverage Hourly Earnings m/mHigh
07:30USNon-Farm Employment ChangeHigh
07:30USUnemployment RateHigh
07:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R330009Resistance
R229763Resistance
R129475Resistance
POC29368POC
Pivot29280Pivot
S129161Support
S229015Support
S328870Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
29452.50
-854.50
ES Globex
7494.00
-49.50
VIX
16.83
0.24
10Y Yield
4.477
0.002
DXY
100.84
-0.55
Crude
68.23
-0.35

Market Context

📊
VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, rising
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Defensive demand building
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Contango, calm
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Heavy downside impulse
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Weak tape broadening

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29464-29486
Stop29357
TP129617
TP229758
Only a clean reclaim of R1 shifts intraday control, targeting the EMA resistance shelf before the prior breakdown zone.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry29266-29294
Stop29398
TP129138
TP228997
Breakdown through Pivot keeps sellers in control, with weak semis and elevated VXN supporting downside continuation.
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