Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Labor demand can reset rate expectations
A softer openings print supports growth multiples, while a hot read can lift the 10Y and pressure NQ.
09:00
Consumer confidence tests the risk bid
A stronger household read reinforces cyclical appetite, while disappointment can turn today’s rally into profit-taking.
09:00
Semiconductor leadership keeps buyers engaged
Chip strength is cushioning valuation risk, but any fade in that leadership would hit Nasdaq 100 internals quickly.
12:16

Economic Calendar (CT)

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09:00USCB Consumer ConfidenceMed
09:00USJOLTS Job OpeningsMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R330968Resistance
R230660Resistance
R130577Resistance
POC30553POC
Pivot30455Pivot
S130371Support
S230070Support
S329935Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
30550.75
477.25
ES Globex
7557.00
56.75
VIX
16.66
-0.99
10Y Yield
4.408
0.034
DXY
101.21
0.10
Crude
69.79
-0.96

Market Context

📊
VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, easing
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Balanced positioning
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Contango, calm
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Strong trend intact
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Narrow but firm

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry30443-30467
Stop30333
TP130601
TP230748
Dip-buy only if Pivot demand holds; risk is defined against S1, with R1/R2 as measured upside targets.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry30565-30589
Stop30699
TP130431
TP230284
Fade an R1 failure into trapped late buyers; R2 invalidates, while S1/S2 are the clean downside magnets.
TradingView
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