Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Core inflation remains the key macro risk
A hotter inflation print would keep rate-cut hopes under pressure and raise the odds of sharp two-way movement in Nasdaq 100 futures.
07:30
GDP data tests the soft-landing narrative
Growth holding firm can support earnings confidence, but a strong read may also keep yields sticky for longer-duration tech.
07:30
Labor data can shift risk appetite
Claims near expectations would likely keep the focus on price action, while a surprise jump could revive growth-scare selling.
07:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30USCore PCE Price Index m/mHigh
07:30USFinal GDP q/qHigh
07:30USFinal GDP Price Index q/qMed
07:30USUnemployment ClaimsMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R330264Resistance
R230004Resistance
R129840Resistance
POC29682POC
Pivot29680Pivot
S129520Support
S229340Support
S329190Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
29681.75
291.25
ES Globex
7418.00
-10.25
VIX
19.17
0.54
10Y Yield
4.384
-0.018
DXY
101.41
-0.20
Crude
71.55
1.21

Market Context

📊
VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, easing
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Balanced positioning
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Flat carry
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Strong semis leading
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Mixed participation

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry29665-29695
Stop29561
TP129823
TP229966
Buy only if price reclaims value around Pivot; risk is defined below S1 with first target at R1.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry29505-29535
Stop29639
TP129377
TP229234
Failure through S1 signals buyers lost control; use Pivot as the line where the breakdown thesis is wrong.
TradingView
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