Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

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Bank stress results can shift late-session risk tone
Bank capital headlines can tighten or loosen risk appetite across financials and broader index futures into the close.
15:00
Presidential remarks add headline risk
Policy remarks can move rates, dollar, and index futures if trade, fiscal, or geopolitical themes hit the tape.
19:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

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Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R330120Resistance
R229908Resistance
R129770Resistance
POC29680POC
Pivot29628Pivot
S129525Support
S229380Support
S329180Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
29612.75
688.50
ES Globex
7452.75
15.25
VIX
18.90
-0.59
10Y Yield
4.406
-0.087
DXY
101.58
0.17
Crude
70.62
-2.59

Market Context

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VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, rising
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Balanced positioning
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Flat carry
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Index bid uneven
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Leadership badly narrow

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29616-29640
Stop29510
TP129770
TP229911
Take Pivot reclaim only if price accepts above it; target R1 first while volatility remains elevated and leadership is mixed.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry29758-29782
Stop29888
TP129628
TP229487
Fade R1 only if buyers fail there; weak semiconductor leadership makes upside follow-through suspect despite the strong index print.
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