Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Manufacturing PMI tests growth momentum
A stronger reading would support risk appetite, while a miss could reinforce growth concerns and pressure high-beta tech.
08:45
Services PMI carries demand signal
Services strength would help stabilize sentiment, but weakness would raise demand concerns and keep volatility bid.
08:45
Presidential remarks add headline risk
Policy-sensitive remarks can quickly shift rates, dollar, and risk sentiment during the afternoon session.
13:05

Economic Calendar (CT)

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08:45USFlash Manufacturing PMIMed
08:45USFlash Services PMIMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R330205Resistance
R230055Resistance
R129955Resistance
POC29835POC
Pivot29805Pivot
S129685Support
S229505Support
S329355Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
29802.50
706.50
ES Globex
7462.50
-78.75
VIX
18.92
1.64
10Y Yield
4.483
-0.026
DXY
101.42
0.40
Crude
73.21
-1.61

Market Context

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VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, rising
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Balanced hedging demand
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Flat carry
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Strong but fractured
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Leadership under pressure

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29790-29820
Stop29686
TP129948
TP230091
Buy only a controlled pullback into Pivot if buyers defend structure; target R1 first with room toward R2.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry29940-29970
Stop30074
TP129812
TP229669
Fade a failed push into R1 if volatility stays firm and semis remain heavy; risk is defined above R2.
TradingView
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