Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
VXN remains elevated despite the NQ surge
Elevated Nasdaq volatility keeps two-way risk alive even with strong index and semiconductor momentum.
15:54
10Y strength is a headwind for growth leadership
Rising yields can pressure long-duration tech multiples and make upside follow-through more selective.
15:54
Semis are leading the tape higher
Semiconductor leadership supports dip-buying interest, but stretched positioning raises the penalty for chasing late strength.
15:54
Economic Calendar (CT)
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 30968 | Resistance |
| R2 | 30840 | Resistance |
| R1 | 30745 | Resistance |
| Pivot | 30645 | Pivot |
| POC | 30620 | POC |
| S1 | 30520 | Support |
| S2 | 30338 | Support |
| S3 | 30140 | Support |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
30656.25
1560.25
ES Globex
7542.25
-28.50
VIX
17.28
0.50
10Y Yield
4.509
0.058
DXY
101.01
0.16
Crude
74.01
-1.84
Market Context
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN
Elevated tech fear
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call
Balanced hedging tone
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure
Cautious but orderly
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum
Strong trend bid
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth
Leadership concentrated
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 30508-30532 |
| Stop | 30397 |
| TP1 | 30668 |
| TP2 | 30815 |
Buy a controlled pullback into S1 where dip demand can defend the trend without chasing highs.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Limit |
| Entry | 30733-30757 |
| Stop | 30868 |
| TP1 | 30597 |
| TP2 | 30450 |
Fade a stalled push into R1 if buyers fail to reclaim the upper range with authority.
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