Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
NQ faces a critical intraday cross near pivot with potential for quick directional fade
Price action around the pivot area may set the tone for the session as momentum remains mixed and traders wait for a breakout or a test of nearby supports.
12:30
Weak data risk from domestic manufacturing signals could limit upside move
If manufacturing readings disappoint, risk sentiment could deteriorate and push NQ toward nearby supports.
14:00
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30USEmpire State Manufacturing IndexHigh
08:15USCapacity Utilization RateMed
08:15USIndustrial Production m/mMed
09:00USNAHB Housing Market IndexMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Pivot | 30820 | Pivot |
| R1 | 30950 | Resistance |
| R2 | 31100 | Resistance |
| S1 | 30710 | Support |
| S2 | 30600 | Support |
| S3 | 30500 | Support |
| POC | 30850 | POC |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
30873.00
1449.00
ES Globex
7639.75
142.25
VIX
16.00
-1.68
10Y Yield
4.469
-0.018
DXY
99.57
-0.18
Crude
80.65
-4.23
Market Context
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN25.92
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call0.XX
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure16
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentumpositive
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadthmixed
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Stop |
| Entry | 30860-30900 |
| Stop | 30750 |
| TP1 | 30950 |
| TP2 | 31100 |
Pivot vicinity break with favorable R:R in chop.
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 30750-30800 |
| Stop | 30950 |
| TP1 | 30650 |
| TP2 | 30550 |
S1/S2 nearby support area to fade upside pressure.
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