Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
NQ edges higher amid soft risk backdrop; breadth support remains key
Market tone remains rangebound with potential slide if breadth deteriorates, though price action holds above recent pivots.
12:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

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09:00USPrelim UoM Consumer SentimentMed
09:00USPrelim UoM Inflation ExpectationsMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
Pivot29750Pivot
R129850Resistance
R229960Resistance
S129640Support
S229530Support
S329420Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
29723.25
390.75
ES Globex
7441.50
45.50
VIX
18.57
-0.87
10Y Yield
4.483
0.020
DXY
99.72
-0.14
Crude
84.62
-3.09

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN29.14
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call0.78
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure15.3
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum50
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth50

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29720-29740
Stop29640
TP129850
TP229960
Pivot-leaning breakout with favorable risk/reward in chop regime.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry29680-29700
Stop29850
TP129640
TP229530
Fade rally into S1 with expected volatility compression.
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