Catalysts & Headlines (CT)
NQ- futures remain near pivot with mixed momentum as global growth concerns persist.
Immediate risk is balanced by a drift toward resistance levels, applying pressure on intraday risk-reward dynamics.
12:20
Oil shock potential from crude inventory surprise adds density to trend in tech-driven names.
Market pricing may tighten risk posture and encourage profit-taking near key pivots.
12:45
Economic Calendar (CT)
07:30USCore CPI m/mHigh
07:30USCore CPI y/yHigh
07:30USCPI m/mHigh
07:30USCPI y/yHigh
09:30USCrude Oil InventoriesHigh
12:01US10-y Bond AuctionMed
13:00USFederal Budget BalanceMed
Key Levels — NQ
| Level | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Pivot | 28700 | Pivot |
| R1 | 28750 | Resistance |
| R2 | 28850 | Resistance |
| R3 | 28950 | Resistance |
| S1 | 28650 | Support |
| S2 | 28550 | Support |
| S3 | 28450 | Support |
| POC | 28720 | POC |
Overnight Session
NQ Globex
28710.50
-6.25
ES Globex
7323.25
-69.50
VIX
21.64
1.77
10Y Yield
4.538
0.010
DXY
99.90
-0.01
Crude
91.19
2.99
Market Context
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN32.43
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call1.35
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure21.64
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum50
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
BreadthNeutral
Session Playbook
Bull Case
| Order | Buy Limit |
| Entry | 28700-28710 |
| Stop | S1 28650 |
| TP1 | R1 28750 |
| TP2 | R2 28850 |
Pivot-area breakout with buffer to S1 for intraday upside
Bear Case
| Order | Sell Stop |
| Entry | 28730-28740 |
| Stop | R1 28750 |
| TP1 | S1 28650 |
| TP2 | S2 28550 |
Fade move into pivot with stop above R1 for defined downside
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