Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
NQ continues to pressure key levels with risk of a near-term pullback as breadth wanes.
Market breadth is showing caution after strong upside, suggesting limited upside unless momentum picks up.
07:45
Drift in volatility and macro backdrops keep the Nasdaq futures anchored below recent highs.
Volatility compression amid mixed data hints at a cautious pre-market with traders awaiting signal from economic releases.
10:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
05:00USNFIB Small Business IndexHigh
07:15USADP Weekly Employment ChangeMed
07:30USTrade BalanceMed
09:00USExisting Home SalesMed
09:00USFinal Wholesale Inventories m/mMed
15:30USAPI Weekly Statistical BulletinMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R330200Resistance
R230050Resistance
R129950Resistance
POC29738POC
Pivot29640Pivot
S129520Support
S229400Support
S329250Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
29738.00
1602.00
ES Globex
7457.00
41.00
VIX
18.01
-0.91
10Y Yield
4.546
-0.006
DXY
99.69
-0.36
Crude
89.35
-1.95

Market Context

📊
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure2.8
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call0.93
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentumnegative
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadthweak
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structurenormal

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29760-29820
Stop29620
TP129950
TP230050
Upstream momentum and above-POC setup offer limited risk with potential follow-through.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry29620-29680
Stop29820
TP129500
TP229350
Failure to hold POC and weak breadth imply a downside reaction may unfold.
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