Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Fed minutes can reset rate-cut pricing
A hawkish tone would support yields and pressure long-duration tech, while softer language could trigger short-covering.
13:00
Oil shock keeps inflation pressure in the tape
Firmer crude and Middle East stress raise input-cost anxiety and reduce appetite for high-multiple growth.
12:16
Semiconductor weakness drags Nasdaq leadership
Chip underperformance keeps rallies fragile because mega-cap technology needs semiconductor confirmation to sustain upside.
12:16

Economic Calendar (CT)

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13:00USFOMC Meeting MinutesHigh

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R329651Resistance
R229556Resistance
R129392Resistance
Pivot29283Pivot
POC29274POC
S129210Support
S229125Support
S328910Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
29372.00
-1340.75
ES Globex
7521.00
-30.25
VIX
16.97
0.84
10Y Yield
4.585
0.056
DXY
101.06
-0.08
Crude
74.22
3.78

Market Context

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VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, rising
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Defensive skew rising
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Contango, calm
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Weak, bounce suspect
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Sellers control tape

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry29382-29404
Stop29276
TP129533
TP229674
Reclaiming R1 squeezes weak shorts; risk stays defined beneath Pivot, with R2 then R3 as the only clean upside magnets.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry29272-29294
Stop29400
TP129143
TP229002
Failure at Pivot keeps sellers in control; R1 is the line to beat, with S2 and S3 offering proper downside reward.
TradingView
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