Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
FOMC projections and Fed Funds decision expectations shaping risk posture into the session
Markets price in a policy path that maintains restrictive stance with ongoing balance-sheet normalization implications for futures.
13:00
Retail sales data and core retail sales provide guidance on consumer demand health
Economy-facing data may influence risk appetite and short-term volatility in technology-heavy futures.
07:30
Crude oil inventories and retail sales readings keep macro backdrop in flux
Oil inventory changes alongside retail activity add to cross-asset volatility and potential sector rotations.
09:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:30USCore Retail Sales m/mMed
07:30USRetail Sales m/mMed
08:30USPresident Trump SpeaksMed
09:00USBusiness Inventories m/mHigh
09:00USPending Home Sales m/mHigh
09:30USCrude Oil InventoriesHigh
13:00USFederal Funds RateHigh
13:00USFOMC Economic ProjectionsHigh

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
R330560Resistance
R230520Resistance
R130500Resistance
POC30480POC
Pivot30460Pivot
S130440Support
S230400Support
S330360Support

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
30474.75
995.50
ES Globex
7593.00
74.50
VIX
16.05
-0.36
10Y Yield
4.434
0.006
DXY
99.62
0.08
Crude
75.97
-0.08

Market Context

📊
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure62%
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
BreadthN/A
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech MomentumMixed
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-CallNeutral
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN-1.17

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Limit
Entry30470-30475
Stop30351
TP130619
TP230765
Overnight strength but near-term risk of consolidation.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry30460-30465
Stop30585
TP130316
TP230170
Premarket weakness near resistance with strong downside buffers.
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