Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
NQ futures extend overnight gains as risk appetite improves and tech leadership supports a higher session bias
Overnight price action in NQ displayed a strong bid, signaling insulation against near-term pullbacks and potential for continued upside into the open.
07:30
Key US payroll data ahead with potential to impact risk sentiment and positioning
Markets expect payrolls and wages data to influence the likelihood of rate path adjustments and market breadth, potentially pushing prices toward resistance levels.
07:30

Economic Calendar (CT)

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07:30USAverage Hourly Earnings m/mHigh
07:30USNon-Farm Employment ChangeHigh
07:30USUnemployment RateHigh
14:00USConsumer Credit m/mMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R330350Resistance
R230200Resistance
R130150Resistance
POC30047POC
Pivot29950Pivot
S129850Support
S229750Support
S329650Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
30047.25
2211.50
ES Globex
7546.25
-54.75
VIX
15.92
0.52
10Y Yield
4.540
0.063
DXY
99.58
0.17
Crude
92.29
-0.75

Market Context

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NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN23.22
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call-
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure-
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum-
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth-

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry30150-30250
Stop30020
TP130270
TP230400
Overnight strength and POC near 30047 suggest to chase extension into next resistance.
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry29900-29950
Stop29990
TP129800
TP229650
If support fails, fade into nearby S1 with targets lower.
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